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Post by seanford on Nov 22, 2018 15:23:00 GMT -5
Alex bowman gets a win
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Post by pureracing24 on Nov 22, 2018 16:33:18 GMT -5
2019 Predictions:
-Joey Logano wins 2 races but is kinda invisible for the majority of the year
-Martin Truex Jr performs similarly to how Carl Edwards did when he was in the 19 car.
-Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch are once again the class of the field, Harvick wins 9 races and Busch wins 6 races and both lead over 1200 laps
-Aric Almirola wins a race and contends for a few other wins
-Chase Elliott wins 2 races but doesn't lead more than 250 laps over the entire season.
-Kurt Busch is a fringe chase contender
-Brad Keselowski wins a race on fuel mileage, but is largely invisible for the rest of the year and finishes around 12th in points
-Kyle Larson wins 2-3 races and is also in contention for a few other wins.
-Ryan Blaney performs similar to 2018
-Denny Hamlin fails to win a race and misses the playoffs
-Clint Bowyer goes winless but still makes the playoffs
-Austin Dillon somehow wins a crown jewel race again
-Jimmie Johnson fails to win a race or make the playoffs, finishes around 20th in points
-Erik Jones wins once or twice but doesn't come close to contending for the championship
-Alex Bowman performs similar to 2018
-Ryan Newman finishes around 21st-24th in points, gets a few top-10s
-Ricky Stenhouse Jr is a fringe playoff contender
-Paul Menard finishes around 21st-24th in points, gets a few top-10s
-Daniel Suarez once again fails to make the playoffs, even in the 41 car
-Ryan Preece finishes around 25th in points, gets about 2-3 top-10s
-William Byron improves and finishes between 18th-20th in points
-Matt DiBenedetto is a fringe playoff contender
-Bubba Wallace improves slightly, but only finishes around 25th in points
-Daniel Hemric finishes around 21st-24th in points, gets a few top-10s
The final 4 will be Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Aric Almirola, and Martin Truex Jr
Champion: Kevin Harvick
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Post by Mile501 on Jan 10, 2019 10:02:46 GMT -5
I think it's getting harder to make predictions as things in NASCAR become less fair (the championship format, the new racing package, etc.). Nevertheless, I did this just for fun and to see how it turns out by year's end. Overall, I don't forsee a lot of significant changes from the past season. One big question mark is the #77 team; I really have no idea where to place them.
I still prefer to make full-season points predictions because of the unpredictability of the playoff format. (For example, David Ragan could win at Talladega and finish 16th in points, but those sorts of things are impossible to predict.)
Full-Season Points Predictions:
1. #18 - Kyle Busch
2. #42 - Kyle Larson
3. #9 - Chase Elliott
4. #4 - Kevin Harvick
5. #12 - Ryan Blaney
6. #19 - Martin Truex Jr.
7. #22 - Joey Logano
8. #20 - Erik Jones
9. #14 - Clint Bowyer
10. #10 - Aric Almirola
11. #2 - Brad Keselowski
12. #48 - Jimmie Johnson
13. #88 - Alex Bowman
14. #41 - Daniel Suarez
15. #11 - Denny Hamlin
16. #1 - Kurt Busch
17. #6 - Ryan Newman
18. #24 - William Byron
19. #17 - Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
20. #21 - Paul Menard
21. #3 - Austin Dillon
22. #8 - Daniel Hemric
23. #47 - Ryan Preece
24. #37 - Chris Buescher
25. #95 - Matt DiBenedetto
26. #38 - David Ragan
27. #34 - Michael McDowell
28. #13 - Ty Dillon
29. #36 - Matt Tifft
30. #43 - Darrell Wallace Jr.
31. #77 - (Multiple Drivers)
32. #32 - Corey LaJoie
33. #15 - Ross Chastain
34. #00 - Landon Cassill
35. #51 - ??
36. #52 - ??
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Post by pokemon2112 on Jan 17, 2019 20:11:58 GMT -5
Here's a few:
- Jimmie Johnson has a dreadful year. Only gets a few top 10 finishes and is like 20th-25th in full season points. He announces that 2020 will be his last season before retirement.
- Martin Truex Jr. has a weaker year than the last few but still solid, with 2-3 wins, and around 5th-7th in full season points. Around the level of how Chase Elliott or Brad Keselowski did last year.
- Kevin Harvick starts slipping. His year isn't bad, but weaker than the last few. About how he did in 2017, getting around 2 wins. Around 5th in full season points.
- Kurt Busch has a mediocre season at CGR. Gets around 10 top 10 finishes, but gets dramatically outperformed by Kyle Larson. Finishes around 15th in full season points and anounces his retirement at the end of either this year or next year.
- Kyle Larson has a great year. Gets like 3-5 wins and finishes like 3rd or higher in full season points.
- Daniel Suarez has a solid year at SHR. Maybe gets a win. Finishes around 10th in full season points.
- Ryan Newman performs dreadfully at RFR. Lucky to get 5 top 10s, finishes 25th-30th in full-season points.
- Not sure who will have the best season, especially since I don't expect the "big three" to have the stranglehold they did last year. Kyle Busch might replicate his stellar 2018. Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski will probably be big threats. As mentioned, Kyle Larson I see as having a really good year, especially since I don't expect the "big three" to have the stranglehold they did last year. The actual champion though? Probably someone undeserving.
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Post by 02Justin10 on Nov 19, 2019 14:27:26 GMT -5
I think it's getting harder to make predictions as things in NASCAR become less fair (the championship format, the new racing package, etc.). Nevertheless, I did this just for fun and to see how it turns out by year's end. Overall, I don't forsee a lot of significant changes from the past season. One big question mark is the #77 team; I really have no idea where to place them. I still prefer to make full-season points predictions because of the unpredictability of the playoff format. (For example, David Ragan could win at Talladega and finish 16th in points, but those sorts of things are impossible to predict.) Full-Season Points Predictions: 1. #18 - Kyle Busch 2. #42 - Kyle Larson 3. #9 - Chase Elliott 4. #4 - Kevin Harvick 5. #12 - Ryan Blaney 6. #19 - Martin Truex Jr. 7. #22 - Joey Logano 8. #20 - Erik Jones 9. #14 - Clint Bowyer 10. #10 - Aric Almirola 11. #2 - Brad Keselowski 12. #48 - Jimmie Johnson 13. #88 - Alex Bowman 14. #41 - Daniel Suarez 15. #11 - Denny Hamlin 16. #1 - Kurt Busch 17. #6 - Ryan Newman 18. #24 - William Byron 19. #17 - Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 20. #21 - Paul Menard 21. #3 - Austin Dillon 22. #8 - Daniel Hemric 23. #47 - Ryan Preece 24. #37 - Chris Buescher 25. #95 - Matt DiBenedetto 26. #38 - David Ragan 27. #34 - Michael McDowell 28. #13 - Ty Dillon 29. #36 - Matt Tifft 30. #43 - Darrell Wallace Jr. 31. #77 - (Multiple Drivers) 32. #32 - Corey LaJoie 33. #15 - Ross Chastain 34. #00 - Landon Cassill 35. #51 - ?? 36. #52 - ?? |
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Post by Mile501 on Nov 22, 2019 14:03:39 GMT -5
I think it's getting harder to make predictions as things in NASCAR become less fair (the championship format, the new racing package, etc.). Nevertheless, I did this just for fun and to see how it turns out by year's end. Overall, I don't forsee a lot of significant changes from the past season. One big question mark is the #77 team; I really have no idea where to place them. I still prefer to make full-season points predictions because of the unpredictability of the playoff format. (For example, David Ragan could win at Talladega and finish 16th in points, but those sorts of things are impossible to predict.) Full-Season Points Predictions: 1. #18 - Kyle Busch 2. #42 - Kyle Larson 3. #9 - Chase Elliott 4. #4 - Kevin Harvick 5. #12 - Ryan Blaney 6. #19 - Martin Truex Jr. 7. #22 - Joey Logano 8. #20 - Erik Jones 9. #14 - Clint Bowyer 10. #10 - Aric Almirola 11. #2 - Brad Keselowski 12. #48 - Jimmie Johnson 13. #88 - Alex Bowman 14. #41 - Daniel Suarez 15. #11 - Denny Hamlin 16. #1 - Kurt Busch 17. #6 - Ryan Newman 18. #24 - William Byron 19. #17 - Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 20. #21 - Paul Menard 21. #3 - Austin Dillon 22. #8 - Daniel Hemric 23. #47 - Ryan Preece 24. #37 - Chris Buescher 25. #95 - Matt DiBenedetto 26. #38 - David Ragan 27. #34 - Michael McDowell 28. #13 - Ty Dillon 29. #36 - Matt Tifft 30. #43 - Darrell Wallace Jr. 31. #77 - (Multiple Drivers) 32. #32 - Corey LaJoie 33. #15 - Ross Chastain 34. #00 - Landon Cassill 35. #51 - ?? 36. #52 - ?? Thanks--I forgot to revisit my preseason predictions. It looks pretty good overall, I would say. I was pretty far off on Erik Jones, Denny Hamlin, and William Byron. Plus I clearly overestimated the #77 team. |
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Post by jimmie48fan on Mar 23, 2020 11:40:31 GMT -5
Here's my predictions for 2019:
1 Kyle Busch 36 5 17 27 1 10167 1582 12.3 8.9 34 13564.44 31 5040 37
2 Martin Truex, Jr. 36 7 15 24 0 10152 1371 13.1 9.8 34 13527.80 26 5035 -5 44
3 Kevin Harvick 36 4 15 26 6 9804 953 8.5 10.0 33 13125.97 30 5033 -7 26
4 Denny Hamlin 36 6 19 24 3 10124 922 11.0 9.5 35 13456.43 30 5027 -13 36
5 Joey Logano 36 2 12 21 2 10221 899 10.3 10.8 36 13739.73 29 2380 -2,660 21
6 Kyle Larson 36 1 8 17 1 9496 529 12.9 15.1 28 12733.03 25 2339 -2,701 10
7 Ryan Blaney 36 1 11 18 1 10001 422 12.3 13.7 32 13425.54 23 2339 -2,701 7
8 Brad Keselowski 36 3 13 19 3 9749 1085 10.0 12.9 32 12859.74 24 2318 -2,722 19
9 Clint Bowyer 36 0 7 18 1 9874 138 10.7 15.2 29 13128.08 23 2290 -2,750 1
10 Chase Elliott 36 3 11 15 4 9497 601 10.9 15.1 30 12842.56 23 2275 -2,765 20
11 William Byron 36 0 5 13 5 10149 233 12.4 14.9 33 13589.68 23 2274 -2,766 2
12 Alex Bowman 36 1 7 12 0 10028 200 13.1 14.4 34 13417.78 24 2257 -2,783 5
13 Kurt Busch 36 1 6 18 0 10140 212 12.7 13.1 34 13583.08 25 2237 -2,803 8
14 Aric Almirola 36 0 3 12 1 9564 180 10.5 15.4 33 13356.54 23 2234 -2,806 2
15 Ryan Newman 36 0 3 14 0 10030 19 19.9 14.6 35 13446.44 25 2219 -2,821 0
16 Erik Jones 36 1 10 17 0 9606 172 14.9 16.2 31 12612.96 23 2194 -2,846 5
17 Daniel Suarez 36 0 4 11 1 10143 166 14.2 16.4 32 13539.60 21 846 -4,194 0
18 Jimmie Johnson 36 0 3 12 1 9798 131 13.5 17.4 32 13073.50 21 835 -4,205 1
19 Paul Menard 36 0 0 4 0 10217 11 16.6 16.6 35 13714.79 24 777 -4,263 0
20 Chris Buescher 36 0 0 4 0 10038 13 21.6 17.8 32 13524.01 20 729 -4,311 0
21 Austin Dillon 36 0 0 6 3 9832 70 16.5 19.5 33 13130.08 18 700 -4,340 2
22 Matt DiBenedetto 36 0 3 7 0 9839 152 20.5 18.3 31 13125.13 21 699 -4,341 0
23 Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. 36 0 1 3 0 9526 109 15.1 20.5 31 12952.68 17 679 -4,361 0
24 Ty Dillon 36 0 1 3 0 10171 14 23.5 20.6 36 13657.76 13 613 -4,427 2
25 Daniel Hemric 36 0 1 2 1 9825 22 18.1 22.5 31 13175.00 9 530 -4,510 0
26 Ryan Preece 36 0 1 3 0 9930 1 24.4 23.1 30 13273.69 10 507 -4,533 0
27 Michael McDowell 36 0 2 2 0 9366 18 20.9 24.2 31 12596.96 11 485 -4,555 0
28 Bubba Wallace 36 0 1 1 0 9939 1 24.3 23.9 33 13064.75 9 437 -4,603 0
29 Corey LaJoie 36 0 0 2 0 9541 0 29.7 25.9 32 12833.00 9 401 -4,639 0
30 David Ragan 36 0 0 0 0 9710 3 21.8 26.3 28 13031.95 7 388 -4,652 0
31 Matt Tifft 32 0 0 1 0 8502 1 28.2 26.0 28 11563.93 6 352 -4,688 0
32 Reed Sorenson 25 0 0 0 0 5854 0 35.8 32.7 16 8556.33 2 118 -4,922 0
33 Quin Houff 17 0 0 0 0 4519 0 33.7 32.6 14 5536.61 0 77 -4,963 0
34 Jamie McMurray 1 0 0 0 0 198 6 16.0 22.0 0 495.00 0 19 -5,021 0
35 Austin Theriault 5 0 0 0 0 1090 1 33.4 33.6 3 1701.15 0 17 -5,023 0
36 Andy Seuss 1 0 0 0 0 291 0 35.0 28.0 1 307.87 0 9 -5,031 0
37 Drew Herring 1 0 0 0 0 262 0 37.0 29.0 1 393.00 0 8 -5,032 0
38 Blake Jones 1 0 0 0 0 179 0 35.0 31.0 1 476.14 0 6 -5,034 0
39 Stanton Barrett 1 0 0 0 0 132 0 39.0 35.0 0 351.12 0 2 -5,038 0
40 Casey Mears 1 0 0 0 0 104 0 40.0 40.0 0 260.00 0 1 -5,039 0
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